2022 NFL Super Bowl Betting Predictions
The #1 seeded teams from the AFC and NFC will meet in the 2022 Super Bowl as the Chiefs take on the Eagles in Arizona on Monday morning. Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid will be looking for their 2nd Super Bowl victory at the Chiefs. Meanwhile, the Eagles are looking for their 2nd Super Bowl victory in franchise history after beating the Pats a few years ago. They were massive underdogs on that occasion but will start as the favourite in 2022.
Kansas City Chiefs (16-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (16-3)
The Chiefs advanced to the Super Bowl after a thrilling 23-20 win over the Bengals at Arrowhead Stadium last week. Mahomes shrugged off an ankle injury as he tossed 2 touchdowns with 326 passing yards. He was sacked 3 times so his mobility isn't quite there but the week off should help him recover to full fitness. He connected with Kelce and Valdes-Scantling on his 2 touchdown passes. Valdes-Scantling went over the 100 receiving yards mark from 8 targets.
However, their receiving corps do have some injury issues. Toney hurt his ankle, Hardman has a pelvis problem and Smith-Schuster is struggling with a knee injury. So Mahomes key targets in this one should continue to be Kelce and Valdes-Scantling.
The matchup with the Eagles defence will be intriguing. Philly are great against the pass as they've allowed the least passing yards in the NFl. But Mahomes is almost matchup-proof. The Chiefs should also look to their running game through Isiah Pacheco as the Eagles defence isn't as strong in this area.
On defence, the Chiefs are coming off a dominant display as they recorded 5 sacks and 2 interceptions against Joe Burrow. Hurts is a different matchup as he's only been sacked twice in 2 playoff outings. So the Chiefs defence will be focusing on getting interceptions when he looks to pass.
Meanwhile, the Eagles have dominated the NFC to reach their first Super Bowl since winning in 2018. In both playoff victories over the Giants and 49ers, they've allowed just 7 points. Overall, their defence has 8 sacks in the postseason and should give the Chiefs plenty of headaches. That will be a key matchup against Mahomes. They'll need to get early pressure on and force the Chiefs to check down.
Jalen Hurts has had a fairly cruisy playoff run so far as the Eagles have been dominating on the ground. They ran for 268 total rushing yards against the Giants and followed that up with 148 yards in last week's win over the 49ers. Hurts is averaging 10 carries per game in the playoffs and has run for a touchdown in both games.
They're running with a 3-man committee between Gainwell, Sanders and Scott. Sanders led the carries with 17 against the Giants and then Gainwell led the way against SF with 14. So it's tough to pick who's going to get the bulk of carries at the moment, which does keep the defence off guard.
However, there should be a bit more passing from the Eagles in this one as the Chiefs are a tougher matchup. So the likes of DeVonta Smith, A.J Brown and Goedert will be Hurts' key targets. A.J. Brown has had a quiet postseason with just 7 total catches so he could be due in a big game. Especially as the Chiefs defence isn't great against the pass.
Super Bowl Prediction
While the Eagles are starting as the favourites in the betting, this should be a close game between the two best sides in the NFL this season. Looking back to the Chiefs 42-30 win over the Eagles in 2021, this could be a similar scoreline in the SB. The Eagles defence has definitely improved since then but they haven't faced a QB like Mahomes in the playoffs thus far. This season, both sides finished in the top three for points scored and on defence, they both allowed around 20 points per game.
The common theme when these two sides play also shows a high-scoring trend. The Over has saluted in 4 of the last 5 meetings and they totalled 72 points in 2021. Kansas City also holds a nice 10-3 record against the Over on the road.
The other factor is the stadium. Both sides beat the Cardinals at this venue this season and the dome conditions should produce friendly conditions for a high-scoring affair. To top it off, the last SB at this venue produced 52 total pts between the Pats and Seahawks in 2015.
Kansas City are 2-1 in Arizona and thrashed the Cards 44-21 in September. Philadelphia did win at this venue in October but have lost their previous 5 in Arizona.
Head to Head Record
Since 1998, the Chiefs are 4-3 against the Eagles. They last met in October 2021 and the Chiefs beat the Eagles in a high-scoring affair: 42-30.
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Firstly, Jalen Hurts is a great target in this market. He's coming off back-to-back touchdowns and had 13 rushing TDs in the regular season. It's also hard to look past Travis Kelce. He's a tough matchup and Mahomes will look for him in the redzone. In the playoffs, he's caught 3 touchdown passes and overall, he's been targetted 25 times.
Super Bowl Same Game Multi
The first leg will be the Over and as discussed, these two teams can score points on their day. Mahomes has tossed 2 touchdowns in both playoff games. He also passed for 5 touchdowns in the last meeting against the Eagles and in his last game at this venue in Week 1 of the season. Kelce hasn't fallen under 65 yards in the Chiefs 2 playoff victories and should also be eager to play well against his brother. Gainwell offers some safe odds for 15+ rushing yards as he's easily beaten this mark in the Eagles postseason run. He's averaging 80 yards per game on 26 carries and the Chiefs run defence is a decent matchup.